Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.404782 0.533237 0.680750 0.860321 1.070648 1.306935 1.590144
2025-11-23 0.233614 0.387512 0.590879 0.868317 1.226043 1.661386 2.220520
2025-11-30 0.150395 0.314584 0.562091 0.933970 1.450835 2.117715 3.016217
2025-12-07 0.092973 0.251257 0.524346 0.973334 1.639476 2.541465 3.803730
2025-12-14 0.053779 0.195799 0.478816 0.986719 1.786525 2.916045 4.548083
2025-12-21 0.027584 0.146121 0.424230 0.970342 1.881280 3.218917 5.208078
2025-12-28 0.014548 0.115992 0.394508 0.986281 2.021543 3.589777 5.974614
2026-01-04 0.006646 0.089828 0.361792 0.987737 2.134199 3.922018 6.696892
2026-01-11 0.002100 0.064409 0.317804 0.956263 2.184656 4.158897 7.287494
2026-01-18 0.000434 0.046250 0.282435 0.932876 2.242984 4.406611 7.898924
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.035338 0.262467 0.937675 2.349669 4.732681 8.634923
2026-02-01 NaN 0.023896 0.230662 0.906638 2.384491 4.941861 9.198708
2026-02-08 NaN 0.019953 0.228232 0.949394 2.567152 5.406599 10.176411
2026-02-15 NaN 0.014389 0.211844 0.952226 2.671341 5.745429 10.971159
2026-02-22 NaN 0.013003 0.218384 1.019152 2.909190 6.318520 12.146182
2026-03-01 NaN 0.010629 0.215768 1.059382 3.094557 6.808153 13.201919
2026-03-08 NaN 0.007771 0.204880 1.072763 3.224222 7.205747 14.121269
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004822 0.185508 1.054986 3.285213 7.484821 14.857633
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003385 0.177504 1.071671 3.421269 7.899424 15.819432
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002112 0.165932 1.073107 3.522607 8.254175 16.690555
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000955 0.146278 1.039691 3.541422 8.459748 17.322170
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000374 0.130425 1.014863 3.576763 8.694968 18.005831
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000160 0.122669 1.019939 3.682612 9.062534 18.914645